Joe CarsonMar 1, 2022Manufacturer's Buying Policy Signal Firms Are Expecting Persistent InflationIn February, the Institute of Supply Management (ISM) reported that the lead time for capital expenditures, production materials, and...
Joe CarsonFeb 21, 2022The Fed's Problem: "It's All About The Money"The Fed has a problem. It's in the business of creating money, but it formulates monetary policy without regard to money itself. So in...
Joe CarsonFeb 15, 2022The Fed is Mistaken: It's the Removal of Inflation That is Destabilizing, Not Late Policy MovesThe Fed is mistaken. The removal of inflation has the most significant destabilizing effect on the economy, not the abrupt change in...
Joe CarsonFeb 11, 2022Does the Fed Still Believe in the Efficacy of Monetary Policy?In January, consumer price inflation of 7.5% for the past year represents the highest twelve-month increase since 1982. As alarming as...
Joe CarsonFeb 4, 2022The Fed's Dilemma: Which "Curve" Should It Target?The Fed is in a pickle. Traditional and unconventional monetary tools have altered the signaling effect of two critical indicators: the...
Joe CarsonJan 31, 2022Questions About The Accuracy of Q4 ECI Data The widely followed employment cost index (ECI) showed a marked slowdown in labor costs in the fourth quarter, creating the impression...