Joe CarsonJan 27, 2022What Would The "Old Fed" Do Today? What would the "Old Fed" do today? In 2021, nominal GDP recorded the first double-digit annual growth since 1984. Yet, the two stunning...
Joe CarsonJan 23, 2022Fed's Huge Problem: Main Street Does Not Believe The Fed's & Wall Street's Inflation ForecastsThe Fed has a huge problem. Main Street does not believe the Fed's or Wall Street's view of inflation. People and businesses act as if...
Joe CarsonJan 12, 2022Easy Money Contributed As Much To 2021 "Actual" Inflation As Supply Shortages Did To "Reported"Consumer prices rose 7% in 2021, the highest reported inflation rate since 1982. The ugly price data has sparked a debate over how much...
Joe CarsonJan 9, 2022Blunders By Fed Spells Trouble For Risk-Assets Try to recall a period when the Fed has misjudged inflation and labor market dynamics as poorly as they have in the past year. The Fed...
Joe CarsonDec 22, 2021"It Ain't Over Until Its Over": Biden's Defining Legislation Will Survive As Clinton's Did in 1993Investors and analysts reacted quickly to the potential legislative defeat of President Biden's Build Back Better Act. Yet, history says...
Joe CarsonDec 15, 2021What Is Maximum Employment? Whatever It Is The Current Labor Market Is Well Beyond Maximum Having erred in calling the inflation surge transitory, the Fed appears to be making another error in assessing the labor market. The...