Joe CarsonJan 9, 2022Blunders By Fed Spells Trouble For Risk-Assets Try to recall a period when the Fed has misjudged inflation and labor market dynamics as poorly as they have in the past year. The Fed...
Joe CarsonDec 22, 2021"It Ain't Over Until Its Over": Biden's Defining Legislation Will Survive As Clinton's Did in 1993Investors and analysts reacted quickly to the potential legislative defeat of President Biden's Build Back Better Act. Yet, history says...
Joe CarsonDec 15, 2021What Is Maximum Employment? Whatever It Is The Current Labor Market Is Well Beyond Maximum Having erred in calling the inflation surge transitory, the Fed appears to be making another error in assessing the labor market. The...
Joe CarsonDec 12, 2021The Next Catalyst For Inflation: Significant and Persistent Increases In Labor Costs
Joe CarsonDec 10, 2021On Inflation: Today's 7% Increase in Consumer Prices Is 11% When House Prices Are Added Consumer prices rose 0.8% in November, pushing the increase in the last 12-months to nearly 7%. That represents the most significant...
Joe CarsonDec 6, 2021Record Increase in Broad Price Index Spells Trouble Ahead For the Economy & the Markets Two decades ago, I created a broad price index to correct the conventional price measures statistical deficiencies and incorporate asset...